Libertad vs Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
31.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
4º
1º
31
1º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 2
LIB
24%
26%
50%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
LIB
2 - 1
SPT
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2023 |
TAC
3 - 0
LIB
20%
25%
55%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
LIB
1 - 2
ATP
30%
26%
44%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
LIB
2 - 1
NAC
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2023 |
OLI
1 - 1
JLM
55%
24%
21%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
CCP
2 - 2
OLI
41%
26%
33%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 0
OLI
23%
25%
53%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
NAC
2 - 2
OLI
49%
24%
28%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
OLI
1 - 1
SPT
55%
23%
22%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |