Libertad vs Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
30.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 3
LIB
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
LIB
2 - 1
GEN
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2016 |
LQE
0 - 2
LIB
42%
27%
31%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 2
LIB
38%
27%
35%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
LIB
0 - 0
AME
56%
24%
20%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
OLI
2 - 1
NAC
62%
21%
17%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
AME
2 - 1
OLI
33%
24%
42%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
RIV
5 - 1
OLI
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
OLI
4 - 2
CCP
53%
24%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
DEP
1 - 0
OLI
29%
25%
46%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |