Libertad vs Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
29%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 0
LIB
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2015 |
DEP
1 - 1
LIB
34%
27%
39%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2015 |
LIB
1 - 0
AME
56%
25%
20%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2015 |
NAC
4 - 0
LIB
52%
24%
24%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
LQE
3 - 0
LIB
33%
28%
39%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2015 |
OLI
1 - 1
CCP
37%
26%
37%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
SPO
2 - 5
OLI
26%
27%
47%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2015 |
OLI
1 - 1
GEN
57%
24%
19%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2015 |
DEP
0 - 1
OLI
38%
27%
35%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
OLI
1 - 0
NAC
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |