Libertad vs Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
28.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2014 |
GUA
5 - 1
LIB
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2014 |
LIB
3 - 0
NAC
65%
22%
13%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
LIB
5 - 1
RÑU
59%
24%
17%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 0
LIB
27%
25%
48%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
DEP
1 - 0
LIB
35%
26%
39%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
OLI
1 - 0
CCP
42%
26%
32%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2014 |
AME
1 - 2
OLI
39%
26%
36%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2014 |
OLI
0 - 1
NAC
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
LQE
1 - 1
OLI
34%
27%
39%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2014 |
OLI
2 - 0
12O
72%
18%
10%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | +1 |