Libertad vs Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
26.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2014 |
GEN
0 - 1
LIB
25%
26%
48%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 1
LIB
40%
28%
33%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2014 |
LIB
0 - 0
AME
62%
23%
15%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 2
LIB
25%
26%
49%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2014 |
LIB
1 - 0
12O
70%
20%
10%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2014 |
OLI
2 - 0
NAC
44%
25%
30%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2014 |
OLI
0 - 2
CCP
43%
25%
31%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2014 |
AME
3 - 0
OLI
38%
26%
37%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2014 |
OLI
3 - 2
SAN
69%
19%
12%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
12O
1 - 1
OLI
21%
26%
53%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |