Libertad vs Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
20.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2011 |
SAM
0 - 1
LIB
49%
25%
25%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
SAN
3 - 3
LIB
21%
28%
50%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2011 |
LIB
5 - 1
SAM
53%
23%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2011 |
LIB
4 - 1
RÑU
63%
22%
16%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
TAC
1 - 0
LIB
25%
30%
46%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
OLI
1 - 3
RÑU
62%
21%
16%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2011 |
TAC
0 - 0
OLI
25%
28%
47%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
OLI
4 - 3
GUA
49%
25%
27%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
CCP
1 - 2
OLI
50%
26%
24%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
OLI
5 - 0
LQE
72%
18%
10%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |