Libertad vs Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
18.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2010 |
RÑU
1 - 3
LIB
41%
28%
31%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
LIB
4 - 0
SPC
73%
19%
8%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
TAC
0 - 1
LIB
23%
29%
48%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
LIB
3 - 1
LQE
69%
20%
11%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
SAN
2 - 1
LIB
22%
28%
50%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2010 |
OLI
0 - 0
AME
65%
21%
14%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
RÑU
2 - 2
OLI
49%
26%
25%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
OLI
1 - 2
NAC
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
SPC
0 - 0
OLI
34%
29%
38%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
SPT
1 - 2
OLI
30%
28%
42%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |