Libertad vs Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.9%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
16.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
LIB
8 - 0
SAN
68%
20%
12%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2009 |
LIB
2 - 1
UNI
64%
21%
15%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
LIB
4 - 1
AME
59%
23%
18%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
NAC
1 - 1
LIB
46%
27%
27%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
LIB
3 - 0
2DE
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2008 |
OLI
2 - 3
2DE
59%
23%
18%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
12O
0 - 3
OLI
47%
26%
27%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
TAC
1 - 1
OLI
43%
28%
30%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
OLI
1 - 2
LIB
39%
27%
33%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2008 |
LQE
1 - 2
OLI
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |