Libertad vs Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
21%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2009 |
LIB
1 - 3
GUA
58%
24%
19%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
LIB
1 - 2
SAN
71%
19%
10%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
LQE
0 - 2
LIB
35%
27%
38%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
LIB
3 - 0
12O
73%
19%
9%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
RÑU
1 - 1
LIB
36%
27%
38%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2009 |
OLI
4 - 1
SAN
65%
21%
14%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
OLI
1 - 2
CCP
42%
26%
31%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
OLI
2 - 1
LQE
58%
23%
19%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
12O
1 - 0
OLI
26%
27%
48%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
OLI
2 - 2
RÑU
57%
25%
18%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |