Libertad vs Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
19.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
CCP
0 - 0
LIB
47%
27%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2007 |
TAC
1 - 1
LIB
34%
29%
37%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2007 |
LIB
2 - 1
GUA
69%
20%
12%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
LQE
0 - 1
LIB
42%
27%
31%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2007 |
LIB
1 - 0
12O
68%
20%
12%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
OLI
1 - 2
AME
62%
23%
15%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
SAN
1 - 1
OLI
39%
28%
33%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
OLI
2 - 1
CCP
39%
26%
36%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
TAC
0 - 1
OLI
41%
28%
31%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2007 |
OLI
1 - 0
GUA
63%
22%
15%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |