Libertad vs Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.1%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
16%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2006 |
2DE
0 - 0
LIB
27%
27%
47%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2006 |
FER
0 - 2
LIB
18%
25%
57%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2006 |
RIV
2 - 2
LIB
65%
20%
15%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
LIB
3 - 2
GUA
65%
21%
15%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2006 |
LIB
0 - 0
TIG
48%
24%
29%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2006 |
OLI
0 - 1
CCP
37%
26%
37%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
FER
1 - 3
OLI
29%
27%
45%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2006 |
LQE
2 - 1
OLI
49%
25%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
OLI
3 - 2
GUA
49%
26%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
2DE
3 - 0
OLI
38%
27%
36%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |