Libertad vs Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
18.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2006 |
SCI
2 - 0
LIB
59%
25%
17%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2006 |
LIB
1 - 1
GUA
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2006 |
LIB
0 - 0
SCI
37%
27%
36%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2006 |
SAN
0 - 1
LIB
38%
26%
36%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2006 |
LIB
3 - 1
RIV
40%
25%
35%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2006 |
OLI
1 - 0
NAC
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2006 |
TAC
2 - 2
OLI
47%
26%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2006 |
OLI
4 - 2
LQE
46%
25%
28%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +2 |
| 02 Jun. 2006 |
NAC
1 - 1
OLI
57%
22%
21%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2006 |
OLI
2 - 3
SAN
53%
24%
22%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |