Libertad vs Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
21.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2003 |
GUA
0 - 1
LIB
44%
23%
34%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2003 |
TAC
2 - 4
LIB
30%
26%
45%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2003 |
CCP
2 - 2
LIB
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2003 |
LIB
0 - 2
GUA
63%
21%
16%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2003 |
LQE
0 - 0
LIB
27%
26%
48%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2003 |
OLI
3 - 2
GUA
53%
25%
23%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2003 |
LQE
2 - 1
OLI
32%
26%
43%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2003 |
OLI
0 - 0
AME
66%
21%
13%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2003 |
SPC
2 - 1
OLI
23%
25%
52%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2003 |
OLI
2 - 0
SLO
41%
26%
33%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |