Libertad vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
34.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2024 |
CCP
2 - 3
LIB
44%
27%
29%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2024 |
LIB
2 - 0
AME
44%
26%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
JLM
3 - 1
LIB
40%
29%
32%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2024 |
LIB
2 - 0
LQE
45%
25%
30%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
LIB
0 - 0
LQE
44%
26%
29%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2024 |
NAC
0 - 0
GUA
41%
27%
31%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
OLI
1 - 1
NAC
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2024 |
NAC
2 - 1
GUA
44%
26%
31%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
TAC
1 - 0
NAC
31%
27%
41%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
NAC
2 - 2
CCP
50%
27%
24%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |