Libertad vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.1%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
12.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
OLI
3 - 0
LIB
64%
20%
16%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2019 |
LIB
0 - 2
GRE
41%
28%
31%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
LIB
2 - 1
RPA
72%
18%
10%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
LIB
1 - 1
GUA
55%
23%
22%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
GEN
1 - 3
LIB
21%
25%
55%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2019 |
NAC
0 - 3
CCP
21%
24%
55%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2019 |
AME
3 - 1
NAC
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2019 |
NAC
0 - 0
SAN
54%
26%
21%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2019 |
LQE
1 - 1
NAC
44%
27%
29%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2019 |
NAC
3 - 1
SPO
50%
26%
25%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |