Libertad vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
27.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2018 |
LIB
0 - 0
ATT
41%
26%
34%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2018 |
AME
3 - 3
LIB
42%
26%
32%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2018 |
LIB
2 - 0
SAN
63%
23%
14%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2018 |
CCP
0 - 2
LIB
47%
25%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2018 |
STR
1 - 3
LIB
38%
24%
38%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2018 |
AME
1 - 0
NAC
46%
25%
29%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
NAC
0 - 2
LQE
51%
24%
25%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
NAC
3 - 1
GEN
50%
26%
24%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 1
NAC
28%
27%
45%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 0
IND
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |