Libertad vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
19.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
AME
4 - 2
LIB
49%
25%
27%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
LIB
1 - 1
CCP
52%
25%
23%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2016 |
DEP
0 - 1
LIB
34%
28%
38%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
LIB
1 - 1
RPA
70%
20%
11%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
LIB
0 - 0
GUA
43%
24%
32%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 2
LQE
37%
28%
36%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2016 |
NAC
2 - 1
AME
37%
28%
36%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
CCP
1 - 1
NAC
60%
22%
18%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
NAC
2 - 2
DEP
34%
26%
41%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
NAC
2 - 3
GEN
47%
26%
26%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |