Libertad vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
21.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 2
LIB
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2015 |
LIB
3 - 0
SAN
66%
21%
13%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2015 |
LIB
2 - 5
LQE
53%
25%
22%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2015 |
OLI
1 - 1
LIB
46%
27%
28%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2015 |
LIB
1 - 1
GEN
57%
24%
20%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 1
LQE
40%
28%
33%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
OLI
1 - 0
NAC
52%
25%
24%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
NAC
0 - 1
GEN
50%
26%
24%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2015 |
SPO
0 - 2
NAC
28%
27%
45%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 1
RÑU
46%
26%
27%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |