Libertad vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
21.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
LIB
1 - 0
EST
40%
28%
33%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
OLI
1 - 2
LIB
39%
27%
33%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2015 |
BSC
0 - 1
LIB
46%
27%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
LIB
1 - 3
GUA
44%
25%
31%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2015 |
AME
0 - 1
LIB
34%
26%
40%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2015 |
NAC
0 - 3
CCP
33%
28%
40%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
SPO
1 - 1
NAC
29%
28%
43%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2015 |
NAC
0 - 0
GEN
47%
27%
26%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2015 |
DEP
0 - 1
NAC
44%
27%
30%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
RÑU
3 - 1
NAC
42%
27%
31%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |