Libertad vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
31%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
LIB
0 - 3
GEN
54%
26%
21%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2013 |
CER
2 - 1
LIB
18%
25%
57%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
LIB
3 - 0
AME
56%
25%
19%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2013 |
LIB
2 - 0
SPO
60%
23%
17%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
RÑU
0 - 1
LIB
27%
27%
46%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
NAC
0 - 1
RÑU
66%
21%
14%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
NAC
0 - 1
CCP
43%
26%
31%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 1
NAC
40%
26%
34%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2013 |
CER
1 - 2
NAC
19%
25%
56%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
NAC
3 - 1
DEP
59%
23%
18%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |