Libertad vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
24.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
LIB
1 - 0
RÑU
70%
19%
10%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2012 |
IND
1 - 4
LIB
29%
27%
44%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
LIB
2 - 0
CER
70%
19%
10%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 2
LIB
25%
30%
45%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
LIB
2 - 1
CCP
43%
26%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
NAC
2 - 1
LQE
72%
19%
9%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2012 |
RÑU
3 - 3
NAC
30%
26%
45%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2012 |
NAC
5 - 0
IND
59%
24%
18%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2012 |
CER
5 - 0
NAC
26%
26%
48%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
NAC
3 - 1
CAR
66%
21%
13%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | +1 |