Libertad vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
27.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2011 |
LIB
1 - 0
IND
74%
18%
8%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
OLI
2 - 2
LIB
50%
26%
24%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 2
LIB
38%
29%
34%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
LIB
3 - 0
SAN
76%
16%
8%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2011 |
LIB
2 - 4
VEL
40%
27%
33%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
CCP
1 - 2
NAC
40%
27%
32%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 1
SAN
72%
19%
9%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
LQE
1 - 3
NAC
23%
26%
51%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 2
LIB
47%
28%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
AME
0 - 0
NAC
21%
25%
54%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |