Libertad vs Nacional analysis

Libertad Nacional
80 ELO 80
3% Tilt -10.2%
758º General ELO ranking 1047º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
46.8%
Libertad
25.6%
Draw
27.6%
Nacional

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.8%
Win probability
Libertad
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
27.6%
Win probability
Nacional
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Libertad
+19%
-8%
Nacional

ELO progression

Libertad
Nacional
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Libertad
Libertad
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Jun. 2011
LIB
Libertad
1 - 0
Independiente FBC
IND
74%
18%
8%
80 67 13 0
29 May. 2011
OLI
Olimpia
2 - 2
Libertad
LIB
50%
26%
24%
80 78 2 0
26 May. 2011
GUA
Guaraní
1 - 2
Libertad
LIB
38%
29%
34%
79 75 4 +1
22 May. 2011
LIB
Libertad
3 - 0
3 de Febrero
SAN
76%
16%
8%
79 62 17 0
19 May. 2011
LIB
Libertad
2 - 4
Vélez Sarsfield
VEL
40%
27%
33%
80 85 5 -1

Matches

Nacional
Nacional
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Jun. 2011
CCP
Cerro Porteño
1 - 2
Nacional
NAC
40%
27%
32%
80 78 2 0
29 May. 2011
NAC
Nacional
1 - 1
3 de Febrero
SAN
72%
19%
9%
80 62 18 0
22 May. 2011
LQE
Sportivo Luqueño
1 - 3
Nacional
NAC
23%
26%
51%
80 63 17 0
15 May. 2011
NAC
Nacional
1 - 2
Libertad
LIB
47%
28%
25%
80 79 1 0
07 May. 2011
AME
Sol de América
0 - 0
Nacional
NAC
21%
25%
54%
80 63 17 0