Libertad vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
27.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
LIB
1 - 2
AME
77%
16%
7%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2011 |
LIB
0 - 0
GUA
54%
24%
23%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
GEN
0 - 1
LIB
23%
29%
49%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2011 |
CCP
1 - 2
LIB
48%
27%
25%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
IND
2 - 0
LIB
27%
30%
43%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
NAC
2 - 1
GUA
46%
27%
27%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
OLI
1 - 2
NAC
48%
25%
27%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
NAC
2 - 0
CCP
40%
28%
33%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 2
NAC
22%
26%
53%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
NAC
0 - 0
LQE
69%
21%
11%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | -1 |