Libertad vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
24.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2008 |
LIB
3 - 1
LIG
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
LQE
0 - 1
LIB
38%
28%
34%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2008 |
FLU
2 - 0
LIB
63%
21%
16%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2008 |
LIB
1 - 0
OLI
55%
24%
21%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
GUA
0 - 3
LIB
37%
28%
35%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
NAC
2 - 0
PET
63%
22%
15%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
CCP
0 - 0
NAC
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
NAC
2 - 1
SAN
64%
21%
15%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
12O
1 - 3
NAC
32%
26%
42%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
NAC
2 - 1
2DE
65%
21%
14%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |