Libertad vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
27%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
2DE
1 - 1
LIB
35%
28%
37%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
LIB
1 - 1
OLI
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2008 |
LIB
4 - 2
LQE
58%
22%
19%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
TAC
1 - 0
LIB
33%
29%
39%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2008 |
LIB
3 - 3
DEF
44%
25%
30%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
NAC
0 - 0
LQE
59%
22%
18%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
CCP
2 - 3
NAC
43%
26%
31%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
NAC
0 - 0
GUA
54%
24%
23%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
SAN
1 - 1
NAC
34%
26%
41%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2008 |
NAC
0 - 0
PET
73%
18%
9%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |