Libertad vs Nacional analysis

Libertad Nacional
80 ELO 78
3.4% Tilt -10.3%
755º General ELO ranking 1060º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
48.4%
Libertad
24.6%
Draw
27%
Nacional

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.4%
Win probability
Libertad
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
27%
Win probability
Nacional
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Libertad
+19%
-8%
Nacional

ELO progression

Libertad
Nacional
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Libertad
Libertad
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Sep. 2008
2DE
2 de Mayo
1 - 1
Libertad
LIB
35%
28%
37%
80 68 12 0
14 Sep. 2008
LIB
Libertad
1 - 1
Olimpia
OLI
62%
22%
16%
80 72 8 0
03 Sep. 2008
LIB
Libertad
4 - 2
Sportivo Luqueño
LQE
58%
22%
19%
79 69 10 +1
30 Aug. 2008
TAC
Tacuary
1 - 0
Libertad
LIB
33%
29%
39%
80 70 10 -1
27 Aug. 2008
LIB
Libertad
3 - 3
Defensor Sporting
DEF
44%
25%
30%
80 82 2 0

Matches

Nacional
Nacional
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Sep. 2008
NAC
Nacional
0 - 0
Sportivo Luqueño
LQE
59%
22%
18%
78 68 10 0
14 Sep. 2008
CCP
Cerro Porteño
2 - 3
Nacional
NAC
43%
26%
31%
78 78 0 0
30 Aug. 2008
NAC
Nacional
0 - 0
Guaraní
GUA
54%
24%
23%
78 74 4 0
24 Aug. 2008
SAN
3 de Febrero
1 - 1
Nacional
NAC
34%
26%
41%
78 67 11 0
20 Aug. 2008
NAC
Nacional
0 - 0
Silvio Pettirossi
PET
73%
18%
9%
78 63 15 0