Libertad vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
21.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2007 |
SAN
1 - 2
LIB
34%
28%
38%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
AME
0 - 1
LIB
37%
28%
35%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
LIB
0 - 1
OLI
57%
24%
19%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
CCP
0 - 0
LIB
47%
27%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2007 |
TAC
1 - 1
LIB
34%
29%
37%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2007 |
NAC
3 - 1
AME
61%
23%
16%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
OLI
2 - 3
NAC
51%
25%
24%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
NAC
1 - 3
CCP
39%
26%
36%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
TAC
2 - 2
NAC
39%
28%
34%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
GUA
2 - 1
NAC
35%
27%
38%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | -1 |