Libertad vs Independiente FBC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
19.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2017 |
LIB
1 - 0
SFE
45%
28%
28%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
LIB
1 - 2
GEN
59%
24%
18%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2017 |
CCP
1 - 1
LIB
51%
25%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
LIB
0 - 0
GUA
40%
26%
34%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2017 |
LIB
2 - 0
HUR
50%
26%
24%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente FBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
IND
4 - 1
AME
39%
27%
34%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2017 |
IND
0 - 2
SPT
57%
25%
19%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2017 |
GEN
4 - 0
IND
43%
26%
31%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
IND
3 - 2
CCP
27%
27%
46%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
GUA
3 - 0
IND
67%
19%
14%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |