Libertad vs Independiente FBC analysis

Libertad Independiente FBC
80 ELO 65
-6.1% Tilt -0.2%
758º General ELO ranking 1662º
Country ELO ranking 20º
ELO win probability
67.8%
Libertad
20.8%
Draw
11.4%
Independiente FBC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.8%
Win probability
Libertad
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
11.4%
Win probability
Independiente FBC
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Libertad
+11%
-5%
Independiente FBC

ELO progression

Libertad
Independiente FBC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Libertad
Libertad
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Sep. 2012
CCP
Cerro Porteño
3 - 3
Libertad
LIB
46%
27%
28%
79 79 0 0
03 Sep. 2012
LIB
Libertad
3 - 0
Rubio Ñu
RÑU
68%
21%
12%
79 65 14 0
29 Aug. 2012
CAR
Sportivo Carapeguá
2 - 0
Libertad
LIB
25%
30%
46%
80 66 14 -1
25 Aug. 2012
LIB
Libertad
1 - 1
Sol de América
AME
59%
24%
18%
80 71 9 0
20 Aug. 2012
OLI
Olimpia
2 - 2
Libertad
LIB
47%
26%
27%
80 79 1 0

Matches

Independiente FBC
Independiente FBC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Sep. 2012
IND
Independiente FBC
2 - 1
PF Cerro Por.
CER
45%
26%
29%
65 67 2 0
02 Sep. 2012
IND
Independiente FBC
0 - 1
Cerro Porteño
CCP
23%
25%
52%
65 79 14 0
29 Aug. 2012
RÑU
Rubio Ñu
1 - 0
Independiente FBC
IND
48%
25%
27%
66 64 2 -1
25 Aug. 2012
IND
Independiente FBC
0 - 1
Sportivo Carapeguá
CAR
52%
25%
23%
66 65 1 0
19 Aug. 2012
AME
Sol de América
1 - 1
Independiente FBC
IND
62%
22%
16%
66 71 5 0