Libertad vs Independiente FBC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.8%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
11.4%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
CCP
3 - 3
LIB
46%
27%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2012 |
LIB
3 - 0
RÑU
68%
21%
12%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 0
LIB
25%
30%
46%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
LIB
1 - 1
AME
59%
24%
18%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2012 |
OLI
2 - 2
LIB
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente FBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
IND
2 - 1
CER
45%
26%
29%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
IND
0 - 1
CCP
23%
25%
52%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
RÑU
1 - 0
IND
48%
25%
27%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
IND
0 - 1
CAR
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
AME
1 - 1
IND
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |