Libertad vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
25.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2019 |
CCP
1 - 3
LIB
48%
24%
28%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2019 |
LIB
0 - 0
LQE
69%
20%
12%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
RPA
0 - 2
LIB
19%
24%
57%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2019 |
LIB
3 - 1
GEN
74%
18%
9%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2019 |
AME
1 - 4
LIB
28%
25%
46%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
GUA
0 - 1
AME
64%
20%
16%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2019 |
GEN
0 - 3
GUA
16%
24%
60%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
GUA
2 - 1
DEP
74%
17%
9%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
SPO
0 - 0
GUA
21%
25%
54%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2019 |
DEP
1 - 5
GUA
30%
24%
46%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | +1 |