Libertad vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
22.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
SPO
0 - 1
LIB
21%
23%
56%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2019 |
CSA
2 - 8
LIB
4%
13%
83%
|
82 | 10 | 72 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 3
LIB
23%
25%
53%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
LIB
1 - 0
LQE
63%
21%
16%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2019 |
CEN
2 - 1
LIB
26%
25%
48%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
GUA
1 - 3
RPA
67%
20%
13%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
OLI
2 - 0
GUA
69%
18%
13%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
GUA
3 - 1
AME
54%
23%
23%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2019 |
RPA
0 - 1
GUA
25%
25%
49%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2019 |
GUA
1 - 0
CAL
51%
25%
25%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |