Libertad vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
31.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2018 |
BOC
2 - 0
LIB
64%
21%
16%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2018 |
IND
1 - 0
LIB
33%
27%
41%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2018 |
SAM
0 - 1
LIB
1%
5%
94%
|
80 | 10 | 70 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
LIB
1 - 1
CCP
40%
27%
33%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2018 |
DEP
1 - 1
LIB
32%
27%
42%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2018 |
TAC
1 - 1
GUA
13%
19%
68%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
GUA
1 - 1
NAC
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
GUA
0 - 0
IND
57%
23%
21%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
CCP
1 - 1
GUA
51%
24%
25%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2018 |
GUA
1 - 0
DEP
54%
23%
23%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |