Libertad vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
34.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2017 |
LIB
2 - 0
HUR
50%
26%
24%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2017 |
LQE
1 - 3
LIB
30%
28%
41%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
LIB
0 - 0
RÑU
63%
22%
15%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2017 |
HUR
1 - 5
LIB
42%
28%
30%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
LIB
2 - 0
IND
57%
23%
20%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
GUA
3 - 0
IND
67%
19%
14%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
SPT
1 - 3
GUA
21%
24%
55%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2017 |
GUA
0 - 2
RIV
40%
25%
35%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 2
GUA
31%
25%
44%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
GUA
2 - 1
RÑU
71%
18%
12%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |