Libertad vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
33.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2016 |
LIB
0 - 3
PAL
46%
26%
28%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
GEN
0 - 1
LIB
30%
28%
42%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2016 |
PAL
1 - 0
LIB
46%
26%
28%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
LIB
1 - 2
LQE
56%
24%
21%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
LIB
3 - 0
NAC
58%
23%
20%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 0
NAC
65%
20%
16%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2016 |
AME
3 - 0
GUA
45%
23%
32%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 2
CCP
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
DEP
1 - 1
GUA
27%
24%
49%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 0
RPA
75%
17%
9%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |