Libertad vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
29.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2013 |
NAC
0 - 1
LIB
43%
27%
30%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
LIB
2 - 1
DEP
52%
26%
23%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2013 |
AGU
1 - 0
LIB
49%
26%
26%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
LIB
1 - 0
CER
70%
20%
10%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2013 |
LIB
2 - 0
AGU
43%
28%
29%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 0
CAR
69%
20%
11%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2013 |
LQE
0 - 4
GUA
33%
27%
40%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
GUA
2 - 0
OLI
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
GEN
1 - 4
GUA
35%
27%
38%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2013 |
GUA
3 - 0
AME
60%
24%
17%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | +1 |