Libertad vs Guaraní analysis

Libertad Guaraní
80 ELO 74
-6.4% Tilt -4.3%
756º General ELO ranking 809º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
55.9%
Libertad
24.1%
Draw
20%
Guaraní

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.9%
Win probability
Libertad
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
20%
Win probability
Guaraní
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Libertad
+11%
-5%
Guaraní

ELO progression

Libertad
Guaraní
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Libertad
Libertad
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Aug. 2012
TAC
Tacuary
1 - 1
Libertad
LIB
20%
27%
53%
80 64 16 0
28 Jul. 2012
LIB
Libertad
1 - 0
Nacional
NAC
51%
25%
24%
80 76 4 0
08 Jul. 2012
LIB
Libertad
1 - 0
Rubio Ñu
RÑU
70%
19%
10%
80 66 14 0
04 Jul. 2012
IND
Independiente FBC
1 - 4
Libertad
LIB
29%
27%
44%
80 68 12 0
01 Jul. 2012
LIB
Libertad
2 - 0
PF Cerro Por.
CER
70%
19%
10%
80 66 14 0

Matches

Guaraní
Guaraní
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Aug. 2012
GUA
Guaraní
3 - 1
Independiente FBC
IND
58%
24%
18%
73 67 6 0
31 Jul. 2012
CCP
Cerro Porteño
1 - 2
Guaraní
GUA
58%
24%
19%
72 80 8 +1
07 Jul. 2012
GUA
Guaraní
0 - 0
PF Cerro Por.
CER
58%
24%
18%
72 66 6 0
05 Jul. 2012
CAR
Sportivo Carapeguá
0 - 0
Guaraní
GUA
38%
28%
35%
72 66 6 0
01 Jul. 2012
GUA
Guaraní
0 - 1
Cerro Porteño
CCP
30%
26%
44%
73 80 7 -1