Libertad vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
20%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
TAC
1 - 1
LIB
20%
27%
53%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
LIB
1 - 0
NAC
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
LIB
1 - 0
RÑU
70%
19%
10%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2012 |
IND
1 - 4
LIB
29%
27%
44%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
LIB
2 - 0
CER
70%
19%
10%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
GUA
3 - 1
IND
58%
24%
18%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2012 |
CCP
1 - 2
GUA
58%
24%
19%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
GUA
0 - 0
CER
58%
24%
18%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 0
GUA
38%
28%
35%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
GUA
0 - 1
CCP
30%
26%
44%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |