Libertad vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
19.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2011 |
LIG
1 - 0
LIB
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
OLI
0 - 2
LIB
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2011 |
LIB
2 - 0
SAO
36%
26%
38%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
LIB
1 - 1
TAC
71%
19%
10%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2011 |
SAO
1 - 0
LIB
60%
23%
17%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
GUA
0 - 0
SAN
70%
20%
10%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
RÑU
2 - 2
GUA
42%
27%
31%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
OLI
2 - 0
GUA
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
TAC
1 - 2
GUA
31%
29%
41%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 2
NAC
37%
27%
36%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |