Libertad vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
23.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2010 |
LIB
1 - 1
LAN
43%
26%
32%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2010 |
AME
1 - 4
LIB
33%
28%
39%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
LIB
1 - 1
UNI
58%
24%
19%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
LIB
0 - 0
OLI
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
LIB
0 - 0
NAC
51%
24%
25%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
OLI
0 - 0
GUA
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 2
CCP
39%
27%
34%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2010 |
SPC
1 - 3
GUA
32%
28%
40%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
GUA
2 - 0
SPT
63%
24%
13%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
NAC
1 - 0
GUA
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |