Libertad vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
18.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2009 |
SLO
0 - 1
LIB
64%
21%
16%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
LQE
2 - 1
LIB
37%
27%
36%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
LIB
1 - 1
NAC
55%
23%
22%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2009 |
LIB
2 - 0
SLO
43%
26%
31%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
12O
1 - 2
LIB
34%
28%
38%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2009 |
GUA
1 - 3
BOC
29%
26%
45%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
GUA
2 - 0
SAN
61%
23%
16%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
TAC
1 - 0
GUA
36%
28%
36%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
GUA
0 - 1
CCP
37%
26%
37%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2009 |
CUE
4 - 0
GUA
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |