Libertad vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
16.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2003 |
LQE
0 - 0
LIB
27%
26%
48%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2003 |
LIB
2 - 0
AME
73%
17%
10%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2003 |
SPC
3 - 4
LIB
20%
25%
55%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2003 |
LIB
3 - 1
12O
70%
18%
12%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2003 |
SPO
2 - 4
LIB
14%
24%
63%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2003 |
CCP
1 - 0
GUA
54%
24%
22%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2003 |
GUA
2 - 2
LQE
56%
23%
22%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2003 |
AME
1 - 2
GUA
43%
26%
32%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2003 |
GUA
4 - 0
SPC
66%
19%
15%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2003 |
12O
0 - 1
GUA
42%
26%
32%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |