Libertad vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
25.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2001 |
CAC
0 - 0
LIB
31%
26%
42%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2001 |
LIB
1 - 1
CCP
48%
24%
29%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2001 |
CCP
2 - 1
LIB
58%
22%
21%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2001 |
LIB
0 - 1
CCP
52%
23%
25%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2001 |
LIB
1 - 1
CAC
75%
17%
9%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2001 |
GUA
1 - 1
LQE
54%
23%
23%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2001 |
12O
1 - 0
GUA
34%
26%
40%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2001 |
CCP
1 - 2
GUA
57%
22%
21%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2001 |
GUA
0 - 2
CCP
49%
24%
28%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2001 |
OLI
2 - 2
GUA
53%
23%
24%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |