Libertad vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
22.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2001 |
AME
2 - 1
LIB
34%
27%
39%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2001 |
AME
0 - 1
LIB
36%
27%
38%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
LIB
3 - 0
SPO
69%
19%
12%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
LQE
0 - 3
LIB
45%
25%
30%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
12O
1 - 3
LIB
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2001 |
12O
0 - 2
GUA
46%
26%
29%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2001 |
GUA
2 - 3
12O
56%
24%
20%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
GUA
2 - 1
OLI
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
AME
1 - 2
GUA
46%
25%
29%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
GUA
0 - 1
CCC
61%
22%
17%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |