Copa Libertadores Quarter-finals
Global 2-3
Libertad vs Chivas Guadalajara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
31.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2010 |
CCP
0 - 2
LIB
48%
28%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2010 |
CHI
3 - 0
LIB
57%
23%
20%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
LIB
3 - 0
SAN
71%
20%
10%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2010 |
LIB
2 - 1
ONC
49%
25%
27%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2010 |
SPC
0 - 1
LIB
27%
30%
43%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Chivas Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2010 |
CHI
3 - 0
LIB
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
CHI
0 - 1
MOR
49%
26%
25%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2010 |
VEL
2 - 0
CHI
47%
26%
27%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
MOR
4 - 2
CHI
46%
26%
28%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2010 |
CHI
3 - 0
VEL
47%
26%
27%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |