Copa Libertadores Playoffs Last 16
Global 0-5
Libertad vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
29.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2019 |
AME
0 - 1
LIB
27%
25%
48%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2019 |
GRE
2 - 0
LIB
60%
22%
18%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
LIB
1 - 0
GUA
54%
23%
22%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
SPO
0 - 1
LIB
21%
23%
56%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2019 |
CSA
2 - 8
LIB
4%
13%
83%
|
82 | 10 | 72 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2019 |
CSA
0 - 0
GRE
10%
26%
64%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2019 |
GRE
2 - 0
LIB
60%
22%
18%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
SCI
1 - 1
GRE
47%
27%
26%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2019 |
BAH
0 - 1
GRE
34%
30%
36%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
GRE
2 - 1
VAS
72%
18%
11%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |