Libertad vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
31%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
LIB
2 - 1
RPA
72%
18%
10%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
LIB
1 - 1
GUA
55%
23%
22%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
GEN
1 - 3
LIB
21%
25%
55%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2019 |
UCO
2 - 3
LIB
39%
27%
35%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2019 |
LIB
5 - 1
DEP
67%
20%
13%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
GRE
0 - 0
SCI
62%
22%
16%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
SCI
0 - 0
GRE
42%
28%
31%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2019 |
GRE
3 - 1
CEN
71%
18%
11%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
GRE
3 - 0
SLU
82%
14%
4%
|
87 | 56 | 31 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2019 |
UCO
1 - 0
GRE
29%
28%
43%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |