Libertad vs General Díaz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
16.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
LIB
3 - 1
OLI
44%
25%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2016 |
DEP
0 - 2
LIB
35%
28%
38%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
LIB
4 - 3
NAC
58%
23%
20%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
RPA
1 - 3
LIB
22%
29%
50%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2016 |
AME
2 - 1
LIB
45%
26%
30%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
General Díaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2016 |
GEN
2 - 1
AME
35%
28%
37%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
OLI
4 - 1
GEN
65%
20%
15%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
GEN
0 - 2
RÑU
42%
27%
31%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2016 |
GUA
3 - 0
GEN
59%
22%
19%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2016 |
GEN
1 - 3
GEN
57%
24%
19%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |