Libertad vs General Caballero JLM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
19.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
4º
1º
22
4º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 39 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 34 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 18 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 18 |
12º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2025 |
OLI
1 - 1
LIB
48%
26%
26%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
LIB
1 - 1
SPT
48%
26%
27%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2025 |
SAO
1 - 1
LIB
64%
21%
15%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2025 |
LQE
1 - 0
LIB
32%
29%
39%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2025 |
TAL
0 - 0
LIB
56%
23%
21%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
General Caballero JLM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2025 |
JLM
1 - 1
2DE
47%
28%
26%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
CCP
2 - 1
JLM
57%
25%
19%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
OLI
0 - 3
JLM
62%
23%
16%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2025 |
JLM
1 - 1
SPT
36%
28%
36%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
LQE
0 - 0
JLM
44%
28%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |