Libertad vs General Caballero JLM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
1º
1º
25
3º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 32 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
LIB
0 - 1
FOR
29%
26%
45%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
AME
0 - 2
LIB
43%
25%
32%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2023 |
LIB
4 - 3
GUA
57%
24%
19%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
TIG
0 - 1
LIB
42%
26%
33%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 3
LIB
47%
25%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
General Caballero JLM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
JLM
1 - 0
LQE
41%
27%
33%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
CCP
2 - 0
JLM
49%
26%
26%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
JLM
2 - 0
SPT
34%
26%
40%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2023 |
RES
1 - 1
JLM
32%
28%
40%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
JLM
0 - 0
GUA
35%
27%
38%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |