Libertad vs General Caballero JLM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
23.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
4º
1º
24
3º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
OLI
2 - 1
LIB
47%
24%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
LIB
2 - 0
GUA
55%
25%
21%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2023 |
SPT
1 - 2
LIB
32%
26%
42%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
LIB
1 - 0
TAC
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
NAC
1 - 2
LIB
37%
26%
36%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
General Caballero JLM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2023 |
JLM
2 - 3
CCP
35%
28%
37%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
JLM
1 - 2
OLI
29%
25%
46%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2023 |
TAC
2 - 2
JLM
33%
25%
43%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 0
JLM
41%
27%
32%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
JLM
1 - 4
SPT
45%
27%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |