Libertad vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
38.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2011 |
LIB
0 - 0
TAC
68%
20%
12%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2011 |
FLU
3 - 1
LIB
64%
21%
14%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
LIB
1 - 1
CCP
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2011 |
LIB
2 - 0
SNL
49%
24%
27%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
LQE
1 - 0
LIB
28%
28%
43%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2011 |
FLU
3 - 1
LIB
64%
21%
14%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
FLU
1 - 1
FLA
56%
23%
21%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
ARG
2 - 4
FLU
31%
25%
44%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
FLU
1 - 0
NOV
86%
11%
3%
|
85 | 49 | 36 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
AME
1 - 5
FLU
10%
22%
68%
|
85 | 53 | 32 | 0 |