Libertad vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
33.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
LIB
3 - 0
PET
56%
24%
21%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
CCP
0 - 2
LIB
50%
26%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2008 |
LIG
2 - 0
LIB
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2008 |
LIB
4 - 0
SAN
64%
22%
15%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
12O
2 - 2
LIB
36%
28%
36%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
FLU
2 - 0
AME
86%
10%
4%
|
83 | 53 | 30 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2008 |
FLU
2 - 2
RES
87%
10%
3%
|
84 | 51 | 33 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
FLU
5 - 2
FRI
92%
6%
2%
|
83 | 57 | 26 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2008 |
FLU
6 - 0
ARS
56%
24%
20%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
FLU
3 - 1
CAB
84%
12%
4%
|
83 | 55 | 28 | 0 |